Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.486016e-01 3.386319e-01 0.444451 0.575900 0.732684 0.911652 1.129288
2025-12-28 1.315778e-01 2.342688e-01 0.376293 0.577128 0.843888 1.176558 1.612903
2026-01-04 6.709029e-02 1.630366e-01 0.320843 0.573091 0.940685 1.432715 2.115944
2026-01-11 2.999787e-02 1.083355e-01 0.265441 0.549731 1.001226 1.643950 2.579648
2026-01-18 1.221009e-02 7.284705e-02 0.224209 0.533171 1.063094 1.857794 3.060044
2026-01-25 4.736936e-03 5.205027e-02 0.199770 0.535946 1.150977 2.112543 3.611131
2026-02-01 1.104681e-03 3.340483e-02 0.167777 0.513530 1.190484 2.294203 4.065112
2026-02-08 2.697232e-04 2.589441e-02 0.160202 0.537687 1.311425 2.607887 4.726919
2026-02-15 1.317554e-05 1.800158e-02 0.144584 0.538796 1.388650 2.854845 5.298285
2026-02-22 2.952516e-08 1.538700e-02 0.146684 0.582116 1.549001 3.245171 6.102933
2026-03-01 NaN 1.206845e-02 0.142463 0.607995 1.676882 3.587049 6.844192
2026-03-08 NaN 8.468039e-03 0.132058 0.614262 1.765052 3.865119 7.494339
2026-03-15 NaN 5.050742e-03 0.116361 0.601984 1.815888 4.086052 8.070211
2026-03-22 NaN 3.352772e-03 0.109138 0.613020 1.917149 4.400248 8.807019
2026-03-29 NaN 1.967249e-03 0.099725 0.613851 1.995573 4.677023 9.491825
2026-04-05 NaN 8.326082e-04 0.085334 0.591854 2.019356 4.855415 10.020749
2026-04-12 NaN 2.963293e-04 0.073950 0.575681 2.053721 5.053489 10.587071
2026-04-19 NaN 1.096421e-04 0.068128 0.579271 2.135174 5.342135 11.312168
2026-04-26 NaN 1.041115e-05 0.057320 0.555911 2.146916 5.498454 11.817527
2026-05-03 NaN 2.359741e-06 0.057029 0.581625 2.285200 5.902534 12.754222
2026-05-10 NaN 1.146971e-14 0.052217 0.582888 2.360022 6.185965 13.490494
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.055637 0.628705 2.555695 6.711818 14.654999
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.055631 0.656047 2.703809 7.148185 15.672731